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Abbott, C. G.
1929, The Sun and the Welfare of Man, (New York: Smithsonian) | Early treatise on the putative influence of the Sun on climate. |
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Baliunas, S. L., et al.
1995, Chromospheric Variations in Main-Sequence Stars. II., ApJ, 438, 269. | The second "fundamental results" paper from the Mt. Wilson project, following Wilson (1978). Written for professional audiences but a classic. |
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Bushby, P. J., & Tobias, S. M
2007, On Predicting the Solar Cycle Using Mean-Field Models, ApJ, 661, 1289. | Argues that the solar cycle is fundamentally unpredictable. |
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Cameron, R., & Schüssler, M.
2007, Solar Cycle Prediction Using Precursors and Flux Transport Models, ApJ, 659, 801. | Argues that the predictive skill of most cycle prediction methods is not related to physical processes in the Sun. |
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Cameron, R., & Schüssler, M.
2008, A Robust Correlation between Growth Rate and Amplitude of Solar Cycles: Consequences for Prediction Methods, ApJ, 685, 1291. | The correlation between solar cycle rise time and amplitude, and consequences for cycle prediction. |
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Dikpati, M., de Toma, G., & Gilman, P. A.
2006, Predicting the Strength of Solar Cycle 24 Using a Flux-Transport Dynamo-Based Tool, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L05102. | A brief paper describing their model and its prediction for cycle 24. |
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Dikpati, M., & Gilman, P. A.
2006, Simulating and Predicting Solar Cycles Using a Flux-Transport Dynamo, Astrophys. J., 649, 498-514. | A detailed discussion of this kind of model, with an overview of earlier work in this area in the introduction. |
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Dikpati, M., Gilman, P. A., & de Toma, G.
2008, The Waldmeier Effect: An Artifact of the Definition of Wolf Sunspot Number?, ApJ, 673, L99. | Rebutting Cameron & Schüssler 2007. |
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Duncan, D. K., et al.
1991, Ca II H and K measurements made at Mount Wilson Observatory, 1966-1983, ApJS, 76, 383. | Contains a truly enormous table of activity measurements at Mount Wilson, plus a decription of the observing and reduction procedure. |
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Eberhard, G., & Schwarzschild, K.
1913, On the Reversal of the Calcium Lines H and K in Stellar Spectra, ApJ, 38, 292. | A brief "note" with some prescient comments about stellar activity. |
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Eddy, J. A.
1976, The Maunder Minimum, Science, 192, 1189. | The highly readable paper that revived respectable interest in solar influences on climate. Eddy coins the term "Maunder Minimum" in this work. |
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Feynman, J.
1983, Geomagnetic and Solar Wind Cycles, 1900-1975, JGR, 87, 6153. | Technical but readable paper that explores how the geomagnetic aa index can foreshadow the upcoming cycle amplitude. |
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Hall, J. C.
PASP, On the Determination of Empirical Stellar Flux Scales, 1996, 108, 313. | Measuring the continuum fluxes of stars in important bandpasses as functions of broadband colors. |
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Hall, J. C., Henry, G. W., & Lockwood, G. W.
2007, The Sun-Like Activity of the Solar Twin 18 Scorpii, AJ, 133, 2206. | A short paper describing the observations and analysis of a decade of 18 Sco observations. |
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Hall, J. C., & Lockwood, G. W.
1995, The Solar-Stellar Spectrograph: Project Description, Data Calibration, and Initial Results, ApJ, 438, 404. | The first major paper from the SSS project. |
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Hall, J. C., Lockwood, G. W., & Skiff, B. A.
2007, The Activity and Variability of the Sun and Sun-like Stars. I. Synoptic Ca II H and K Observations, AJ, 133, 862. | A summary of our calcium HK observations. |
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Hall, J. C., et al.
1994, The Reduction of Fiber-Fed Echelle Spectrograph Data: Methods and an IDL-based Solution Procedure, PASP, 106, 697. | Description of our initial set of routines and algorithms for reducing SSS data. |
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Hardorp, J.
1978, The Sun Among the Stars. I. A Search for Solar Spectral Analogs, A&A, 63, 383. | The initial paper in the hunt for solar twins. If you start with this one, you can forward cite your way to the rest. |
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Hathaway, D. H., Wilson, R. M., & Reichmann, E. J.
1999, A Synthesis of Solar Cycle Prediction Techniques, JGR, 104, 22375. | A technical but readable paper describing the various prediction methods, as well as an attempt to obtain and improved prediction by combining several of the methods. |
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Henry, T. J., et al.
1996, A Survey of Ca II H and K Emission in Southern Solar-Type Stars, AJ, 111, 439. | Extending the more comprehensive northern sky work to southerly declinations. |
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Hoyt, D. V., & Schatten, K. H.
1998, Group Sunspot Numbers: A New Solar Activity Reconstruction, Solar Physics, 179, 189. | The initial specification of the Rg formation for sunspot numbers, broadly comparable to the Wolf number. |
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Javaraiah, J.
2008, Predicting the Amplitude of a Solar Cycle Using the North South Asymmetry in the Previous Cycle: II. An Improved Prediction for Solar Cycle 24, Sol. Phys., 252, 1419. | Predicts a weak Cycle 24. |
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Lockwood, G. W., et al.
2007, Patterns of Photometric and Chromospheric Variation among Sun-like Stars: A 20 Year Perspective, ApJS, 171, 260. | Extends the work of Radick et al. 1998 |
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Massey, P., & Jacoby, G. H.
1992, CCD Data: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly, ASP Conference Series #23 (San Francisco: ASP)240. | Excellent discussion of the pitfalls of CCD data reduction. |
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Middelkoop, F.
1982, Magnetic Structure in Cool Stars. IV - Rotation and Ca II H and K Emission of Main-Sequence Stars, A&A, 107, 31. | Presents a method for converting fluxes to Mount Wilson S. |
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Noyes, R. W., et al.
1984, Rotation, Convection, and Magnetic Activity in Lower Main-Sequence Stars, ApJ, 279, 763. | An important paper discussing the dependence of stellar activity on rotation and spectral type. Includes a widely used formulation of the R' activity parameter. |
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Radick, R. R., Lockwood, G. W., Skiff, B. A., & Baliunas, S. L.
1998, Patterns of Variation among Sun-like Stars, ApJS, 438, 269. | The relationship between activity and brightness in young and old stars is discussed in detail in this paper. |
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Rutten, R. G. M.
1984, Magnetic Structure in Cool Stars. VII. Absolute Surface Flux in Ca II H and K Line Cores, A&A, 130, 353. | Extends the Middelkoop (1982) flux-S conversion. We (Hall & Lockwood 1995) have argued that the solar calibration in this paper is in error. |
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Schatten, K. H.
2005, Fair Space Weather for Solar Cycle 24, GRL, 32, L21106. | Using the polar field precursor technique, Schatten predicts a very weak Cycle 24. |
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Schüssler, M.
2007, Are Solar Cycles Predictable?, Astron. Nachr., 10, 1087. | Perhaps, but not for the reasons we might think... |
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Schatten, K. H., et al.
1978, Using Dynamo Theory to Predict the Sunspot Number During Cycle 21, GRL, 5, 411. | Prediction of Cycle 21 using measurements of the polar magnetic field. |
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Sello, S.
2001, Solar Cycle Forecasting: A Nonlinear Dynamics Approach, A&A, 377, 312. | Describes one "statistical" approach to cycle prediction. |
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Sello, S.
2003, Solar Cycle Activity: A Preliminary Prediction for Cycle #24, A&A, 410, 691. | Predicts a medium-strength cycle peaking in 2011. |
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Svalgaard, L., Cliver, E. W., & Kamide, Y.
2005, Solar Cycle 24: Smallest Cycle in 100 Years?, GRL, 32, L01104. | Using the polar field precursor technique, they predict a maximum sunspot number for Cycle 24 of just 75, a very weak cycle. |
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Thekaekara, M. P., Kruger, R., & Duncan, C. H.
1969, Solar Irradiance Measurements from a Research Aircraft, Applied Optics, 8, 1713. | Report on an attempt to measure TSI from an airplane; not as accurate a study as more recent satellite experiments. |
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Usoskin, I. G., et al.
2003, Millennium-Scale Sunspot Number Reconstruction: Evidence for an Unusually Active Sun since the 1940s, Phys. Rev. Letters, 91, 1101. | Interesting paper from highly reputable workers. |
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Wilson, O. C.
1978, Chromospheric Variations in Main-Sequence Stars, ApJ, 226, 379. | A fundamental paper presenting the results of the first 12 years of the Mt. Wilson "HK Project." |
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Wright, J. T., et al.
2004, Chromospheric Ca II Emission in Nearby F, G, K, and M Stars, ApJS, 152, 261. | Includes S and R' for 1200 stars from the Carnegie Planet Sear Project |